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GUEST BLOG: Pat O’Dea – Trump’s failed coup will continue until victory

Of’s 20 political predictions, 19 relate to domestic political developments.

Journalists make only one prediction about important international political developments.

That’s it:

  • American Democrats lose full control of Congress, either by losing the House, a single Senate seat (possibly Nevada), or both. This hinders Joe Biden’s presidency.

Aside from the single paragraph above, Stuff’s political prognosticators are narrowly limited to making (for the most part) safe and inconsequential predictions about New Zealand’s political developments.

Journalists at The Stuff do not venture to make predictions about the future of a “shackled” Biden presidency for the United States and the world.

To fill this void in political prediction left by the journalists at; I would venture to predict that the failure of Democrats to fully implement Joe Biden’s promised “Build Back Better” program will result in popular disillusionment with politics among American voters. This disillusionment will benefit the American far right, especially Trump’s right-wing populist policies.

If history is any indication, I predict that the violent far-right coup attempt to reestablish Donald Trump as president in January 2031 is a harbinger of things to come.

Inside Trump’s failed coup.

TDB recommends

What follows is a chilling, blow-by-blow tale of Trump’s stolen electoral plot, the identities and personalities of Trump’s far-right conspirators, detailing their activities during and before their attempted coup.

The Capitol was violated by Trump supporters who had said, rally after rally, that they would make violent efforts to keep the president in power. Chronicle of an announced attack.

At the end of President Donald Trump’s crusade against American democracy, after a relentless display of propaganda, demagoguery, intimidation and fear-mongering aimed at persuading as many Americans as possible to repudiate the fundamental tenets of their country, only one word [bullshit] was enough to push his most fanatic supporters to open insurrection… ..

Trump said. “… ..We are going to have to fight a lot harder. And Mike Pence is going to have to fend for us. ”

…. Hundred and forty Republican representatives – two-thirds of the caucus – had declared that they would formally oppose the certification of several swing states. Fourteen Republican senators, led by Josh Hawley, of Missouri, and Ted Cruz, of Texas, joined the effort. Lawmakers had no power to annul the election, but Trump and his allies had concocted a fantastic alternative: Pence, as President of the Senate, could single-handedly annul the state votes Biden had won….

… .. “After that, we’ll go downstairs and I’ll be there with you,” Trump told the crowd. People around me exchanged surprised and delighted looks. “We are going down to Capitol Hill and we are going to cheer on our brave Senators, Members of Congress and women….

… You will never take back our country with weakness. You have to show strength. “

… .On the mall, a makeshift wooden gallows, complete with stairs and a rope, had been built near a statue of Ulysses S. Grant. Some of the nearby marchers carried Confederate flags. Ahead, the muffled sound of deafening grenades was heard, accompanied by lightning flashes….

… .A man wearing a cowboy hat, posing for a photo, lifted his jacket to reveal a gun tucked into his belt. Other Trump supporters had Tasers, baseball bats and batons. I saw a man holding a coiled noose… ..

… .The siege of Capitol Hill was so violent and chaotic that it was difficult to discern the specific political agendas of its various participants. Many of them, however, traveled to DC for two previous events, which were more clarifying. On November 14, tens of thousands of Republicans, convinced Democrats had overturned the will of the people in what amounted to a bloodless coup, marched to the Supreme Court, demanding it overturn the elections.

… ..A large contingent of Proud Boys marched. Members from Illinois, Pennsylvania, Oregon, California and elsewhere were easy to identify. Most were dressed in the organization’s black and yellow colors. Some had “rwds” – the right wing Death Squad – hats and badges; others wore balaclavas, kilts, hockey masks or batting helmets. A man was wearing a T-shirt with a picture of South American dissidents thrown from a helicopter and the words “pinochet did nothing wrong!” Another t-shirt showed a Nazi eagle perched on a beam, by the acronym “6mwe” – Six million was not enough – a reference to the number of Jews slaughtered during the Holocaust.

Many of the Proud Boys were drunk. At about nine-thirty that morning, I had stopped by Harry’s Pub, a dive bar near Freedom Plaza, and found the street outside filled with men drinking Budweiser and White Claw. “We’re going to own this town!” One of them yelled. During the rally on November 14, clashes between the Proud Boys and the anti-fascists left many injured. Although most of the fighting I witnessed at the time was started by the Proud Boys, Trump had tweeted: “ANTIFA SCUM ran for the hills today when they tried to attack people in the Trump Rally, because these people fought back aggressively. “

If history is any guide, I predict that future US elections will be marked by a Republican voter opt-out campaign, violent racist intimidation of black and Latino voters, multiple court challenges to election results, and political pressure on the authorities. election. everything to get the desired result, the electoral gains of the Republican Party in all areas.

Linked to the hesitations and setbacks of the Democratic Party, Trump’s fascist-style anti-democratic tactics and manipulations promise electoral gains for the Republican Party at all levels.

I predict that the GOP will fully support Donald Trump’s far-right policies until 2021 and for the foreseeable future.

I predict that the Biden administration will only get one term before being ousted, (by fair, or crude means), by a far-right Republican administration.

I predict that the democratic countries allied with America, including New Zealand, will not raise any significant objections to the takeover of political power by the undemocratic far right in the United States, and we will continue our diplomatic, military relations. and secret with the United States with consequences for us. all.